Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 14.309424 16.316858 18.464264 20.927647 23.670561 26.626004 30.046395
2024-10-27 10.920900 13.528197 16.515069 20.172280 24.510668 29.473132 35.558148
2024-11-03 9.298624 12.409235 16.196501 21.105195 27.252573 34.646806 44.158108
2024-11-10 8.445487 12.057287 16.701563 23.030637 31.338436 41.769787 55.739924
2024-11-17 7.439020 11.333272 16.608370 24.143820 34.475088 47.965862 66.702760
2024-11-24 6.284138 10.212417 15.813400 24.188401 36.158748 52.379641 75.687263
2024-12-01 5.183667 8.984329 14.684612 23.595728 36.851852 55.457701 83.059597
2024-12-08 4.420117 8.140164 13.989300 23.515254 38.210473 59.498320 91.989770
2024-12-15 3.884247 7.570864 13.626635 23.865570 40.188500 64.512903 102.588238
2024-12-22 3.338502 6.891927 12.990847 23.692968 41.313369 68.303240 111.591836
2024-12-29 3.105296 6.731427 13.189781 24.879147 44.644255 75.608576 126.264442
2025-01-05 2.762563 6.308060 12.874392 25.150169 46.487002 80.695895 137.802142
2025-01-12 2.312422 5.609969 11.998871 24.392579 46.616299 83.183292 145.615197
2025-01-19 1.912988 4.940718 11.083839 23.454216 46.338279 84.972386 152.410762
2025-01-26 1.777387 4.819333 11.214509 24.464110 49.558080 92.746849 169.389073
2025-02-02 1.761935 4.969361 11.907743 26.612483 54.985721 104.563891 193.688027
2025-02-09 1.659856 4.896290 12.127225 27.847010 58.814858 113.843412 214.185488
2025-02-16 1.470521 4.572507 11.768753 27.879614 60.381582 119.251624 228.346408
2025-02-23 1.255210 4.136552 11.101361 27.197553 60.508650 122.086325 238.168486
2025-03-02 1.107398 3.849810 10.731682 27.098698 61.751851 126.981019 251.821442
2025-03-09 1.006763 3.674149 10.597331 27.489393 63.984607 133.786004 269.161654
2025-03-16 0.886347 3.413162 10.218394 27.290751 64.988553 138.334299 282.613703
2025-03-23 0.853318 3.415495 10.500498 28.628309 69.275887 149.314392 308.323490